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CCPI based headline inflation continued to record a sharp decline in May 2023

Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100) decreased to 25.2% in May 2023 from 35.3% in April 2023. The decline in the headline inflation is broadly in line with the disinflation path envisaged by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) in April 2023.

The Food inflation (Y-o-Y) decreased to 21.5% in May 2023 from 30.6% in April 2023, while the Non-Food inflation (Y-o-Y) decreased to 27.0% in May 2023 from 37.6% in April 2023. Monthly change of CCPI recorded at -0.02% in May 2023. This small monthly change was due to the netting off of price decreases observed in the items of Non-Food category, which was -0.56% by the price increases observed in the Food category, which was 0.53%. The core inflation (Y-o-Y), which reflects the underlying inflation in the economy, decreased to 20.3% in May 2023 from 27.8% in April 2023.

Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index - April 2023

Purchasing Managers’ Indices for both Manufacturing and Services activities decreased in April 2023.

Following the seasonal pattern, Manufacturing PMI decreased to 34.7 in April 2023, indicating a month-on-month contraction in manufacturing activities. Accordingly, Production, New Orders, Employment and Stock of Purchases subindices declined during April compared to the seasonal peak in March.

Services sector PMI remained slightly below the neutral threshold recording an index value of 49.6 in April 2023, led by the decreases observed in New Businesses, Employment and Backlogs of Works. Nevertheless, Business Activities and Expectations for Activity continued to increase during the month.

Imposition/ Collection of Administrative Penalties by the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) to Enforce Compliance on Financial Institutions from 17 November 2022 to 31 March 2023

By virtue of the powers vested under Section 19 (1) read together with section 19 (2) of the Financial Transactions Reporting Act, No. 6 of 2006 (FTRA), financial penalties are imposed on Institutions for non-compliance with the provisions of the FTRA. The penalty may be prescribed taking into consideration the nature and gravity of relevant non-compliance of the Financial Institution.

Accordingly, as Sri Lanka’s regulator for Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT), the FIU collected penalties as indicated below, amounting to Rs. 5.5 million in total from 17 November 2022 to 31 March 2023 to enforce compliance on Financial Institutions. The money collected as penalties were credited to the Consolidated Fund.

CCPI based headline inflation declined sharply in April 2023

Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100) decreased to 35.3% in April 2023 from 50.3% in March 2023. The lower level of realised inflation compared to the projections made, was mainly due to higher than expected price decreases observed in Volatile Food and Non-Food items.

The Food inflation (Y-o-Y) decreased to 30.6% in April 2023 from 47.6% in March 2023, while the Non-Food inflation (Y-o-Y) decreased to 37.6% in April 2023 from 51.7% in March 2023. Monthly change of CCPI recorded at -1.39% in April 2023, which is the highest monthly decline recorded so far in CCPI (2021=100) series. This decrease was mainly due to price decreases observed in the items of Non-Food category, which was -1.37%. Meanwhile, the Food category also recorded a monthly decline of 0.02%. The core inflation (Y-o-Y), which reflects the underlying inflation in the economy, decreased to 27.8% in April 2023 from 39.1% in March 2023.

External Sector Performance - March 2023

The trade deficit continued to remain modest in March 2023, compared to a year ago, though it widened notably compared to February 2023

Workers’ remittances and earnings from tourism recorded a notable improvement in March 2023

The exchange rate appreciated notably in March 2023 supported by improved market sentiments towards the finalisation of the IMF-EFF arrangement and improvements in liquidity conditions in the domestic foreign exchange market driven by policy relaxation allowed by the Central Bank

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka Releases its Annual Report for the Year 2022

In terms of Section 35 of the Monetary Law Act No. 58 of 1949, the seventy third Annual Report of the Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka was presented today (27 April 2023) to Hon. Ranil Wickremesinghe, the President and Minister of Finance, Economic Stabilization and National Policies, by Dr. P Nandalal Weerasinghe, the Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka.

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