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Inflation in April 2018

Headline Inflation, as measured by the change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2013=100), which is compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), decreased to 1.6 per cent in April 2018, lowest since February 2016, from 2.8 per cent in March 2018 on year-on-year basis. The decline in the year-on-year inflation in April 2018 was mainly driven by the higher base resulted by the increase in prices of the items in the Food category during April 2017.  The change in the NCPI measured on an annual average basis decreased from 6.7 per cent in March 2018 to 6.1 per cent in April 2018.

Payment for Deposit Holders of ETI Finance Limited

This is further to the Press Release dated 02.01.2018 relating to ETI Finance Limited (ETIFL) and Swarnamahal Financial Services PLC (SFSP).

The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL), having considered the critical financial conditions of ETIFL and the possible implications to the financial system, decided to permit and facilitate ETIFL to sell its holding of shares in subsidiary and sub-subsidiary companies and investment properties, based on a proposal submitted by the Board of Directors of ETIFL, for a net amount of USD 75 million subject to compliance with the applicable laws and regulations.  

CBSL Determined to Curb Unwarranted Depreciation of the Rupee

The underlying fundamentals do not warrant the current pressure on the Sri Lanka rupee. Gross external reserves are presently at a healthy USD 9.1 bn and the real effective exchange rate indices indicate that the currency is competitive. 

SL Purchasing Managers’ Index - April 2018

The Manufacturing Sector PMI contracted recording an index value of 45.5 in April with a decline of 20.1 index points from March. The new year holidays in April dragged back the manufacturing activities following the peak level of activities observed in the previous month, and was in line with the pattern observed in previous years. The contraction of PMI in April was largely attributable to the contraction in the Production and New Orders sub-indices. Stock of Purchases and Employment sub-indices also decreased during the month. Moreover, lengthening of the Suppliers’ Delivery Time sub-index slowed down during the month which partially indicates that suppliers are less busy. Respondents highlighted that increase in unauthorised absentees following new year holidays disturbed the manufacturing activities. Moreover, respondents, especially in the Textiles and Apparel sector, highlighted difficulties in finding both skilled and unskilled workers. However, the Expectation for activities indicates an improvement for the next three months.  

External Sector Performance – February 2018

A notable growth in tourist arrivals and continuous net foreign inflows to the stock exchange amidst a significant widening of the trade deficit characterised the external sector performance in February 2018. A surge in gold imports was the primary driver behind the fastest increase in overall merchandise imports in nearly 3-1/2-years, resulting in a further widening of the trade deficit in February 2018. Continuing the growth momentum observed in January 2018, earnings from tourism increased significantly in February 2018. However, workers’ remittances declined in February 2018 following a growth in January. The financial account of the balance of payments (BOP) recorded a net inflow of foreign investments to the stock exchange, helping to counterbalance a net outflow in the government securities market in February 2018.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka Maintains Policy Interest Rates Unchanged

The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, at its meeting held on 10 May 2018, decided to maintain policy interest rates at their current levels. Accordingly, the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) remain at 7.25 per cent and 8.50 per cent, respectively. The Board’s decision aims at stabilising inflation in mid-single digit levels in the medium term, thereby contributing to a favourable growth outlook for the Sri Lankan economy.

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