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Sri Lanka Purchasing Managers’ Index (Manufacturing and Services) - November 2023

Both Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indices recorded an increase in November 2023

Manufacturing PMI increased to 57.0 on a month-on-month basis in November 2023, driven by the seasonal factors. The index exceeded the neutral threshold after March 2023, with a positive contribution from all the sub-indices.

Services sector PMI recorded an index value of 59.4 in November 2023 indicating an accelerated expansion in the services activities. This was led by the increases observed in New Businesses, Business Activities, Employment and Expectations for Activity.

IMF Executive Board Completes the First Review Under the Extended Fund Facility Arrangement with Sri Lanka

The IMF Board completed the first review under the 48-month Extended Fund Facility with Sri Lanka, providing the country with access to SDR 254 million (about US$337 million) to support its economic policies and reforms.

Sri Lanka’s performance under the program was satisfactory. All but one performance criteria and all but one indicative targets were met at end-June. Most structural benchmarks due by end-October 2023 were either met or implemented with delay. Notably, the authorities published the Governance Diagnostic Report, making Sri Lanka the first country in Asia to undergo the IMF Governance Diagnostic exercise.

The authorities have made commendable progress toward restoring debt sustainability, raising revenue, rebuilding reserves buffers, reducing inflation, and safeguarding financial stability. Strong commitment to improving governance and protecting the poor and vulnerable remains critical.

Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe, co-chaired RCG Asia Meeting of FSB, held in Hong Kong SAR on 29 November 2023

The Financial Stability Board (FSB) Regional Consultative Group for Asia (RCG Asia) met on 29 November 2023 in Hong Kong SAR and discussed recent financial market developments and their impact on the region, vulnerabilities arising from non-bank financial intermediation, the deepening of the sovereign-bank nexus in some emerging market and developing economies, and ways to promote effective regulation and supervision of crypto-asset related risks. Members shared their experiences of identifying, monitoring, and addressing these risks and welcomed FSB’s continued focus on enhancing the resilience of financial systems.

The meeting was co-chaired by Mr. Eddie Yue, Chief Executive, Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) and the current member co-chair, and Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe, the Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) and the current Non- Member Co-chair of the RCG Asia. The Membership of RCG Asia comprises financial authorities from Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Hong Kong SAR, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Vietnam.

CCPI based headline inflation increased in November 2023

Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100) increased to 1.5% in October 2023 from 1.3% in September 2023. This slight increase in the headline inflation is mostly in line with the projections envisaged by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) in October 2023.

The Food deflation (Y-o-Y) continued for the fourth consecutive month and remained unchanged at 5.2% in October 2023 compared to the previous month. Meanwhile, the Non-Food inflation (Y-o-Y) increased to 4.9% in October 2023 from 4.7% in September 2023. Monthly change of CCPI recorded at -0.22% in October 2023 due to the combined effect of price decreases of -0.63% observed in the items of Food category and price increases of 0.41% recorded in the items of Non-Food category. The core inflation (Y-o-Y), which reflects the underlying inflation in the economy, decreased to 1.2% in October 2023 from 1.9% in September 2023.

External Sector Performance – October 2023

Merchandise trade deficit widened in October 2023 due to relatively low export earnings driven by subdued garment exports and high import expenditure driven by fuel imports, compared to October 2022 as well as September 2023. 

Workers’ remittances exceeded US dollars 500 million in October 2023, while earnings from tourism continued the notable improvement in October 2023, compared to a year ago. 

Foreign investments in the government securities market continued to record a net outflow in October 2023, however, year-to-date net inflows continued to be positive.

Gross Official Reserves amounted to US dollars 3.6 billion by end October 2023.

The Sri Lanka rupee remained stable against the US dollar during the month of October 2023.

Central Bank Governor shares Sri Lanka’s Inflation Success Story at the Economic Dialogue Series in Berlin, Germany

Dr. P. Nandalal Weerasinghe, Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, attended, by invitation, the Economic Dialogue Series held in Berlin under the theme “Inflation Kills Democracy: Fiscal Rationality as the basis of Functioning Communities” on 21 November 2023. This event was organised by the Federal Ministry of Finance, Germany. Governor Weerasinghe presented Sri Lanka’s success story in reining in inflation following the record high acceleration in 2022. In his speech, he discussed the measures taken by the Central Bank and the Government in curtailing inflation and shared experience on the disinflation strategy and the process. 

The Federal Minister of Finance of Germany, Mr. Christian Lindner; the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Ms. Christine Lagarde; and Prof. Albrecht Ritschl, London School of Economics, also spoke at the event, among other speakers.

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